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International Data Corporation, a leading provider of analytics and advisory services for the information technology sector, has released their predictions for trends and key drivers in the IT industry for 2019 and beyond. Here are five big shifts they're forecasting for the years ahead:
1. Digitised Economy
IDC believes that be 2022, more than 60% of global GDP will be digitised, and that every industry's growth will be sustained by products, operations and relationships that are enabled or enhanced by digital technology. IT expenditures are expected to reach $7 trillion globally through 2019-2022.
According to IDC, the businesses that will thrive in the years ahead are those that invest in digital optimisation on two fronts: their internal operations, and their outward business model. While it's always easier for companies to make internal improvements that to reinvent the customer-facing side of things, IDC says that businesses who don't tackle both side of digital optimisation are in danger of losing up to two-thirds of their market by 2022.
2. Third Platform
IDC predicts that by 2023, 75% of all IT spending will be on the "Third Platform" - their term for smartphones, Internet of Things appliances, and any other device that allows users to interface with cloud-distrubuted software - as companies focus on building "digital native" environments to transform their enterprises.
3. Edge Computing
According to IDC, more and more companies will be seeing edge computing as an ideal way to handle the increased demand for artificial intelligence processing, predicting that by 2022 over 40% of companies' cloud-based systems will involve edge computing and 25% of end-user devices will be executing AI algorithms.
4. New Developer Class
IDC sees a new professional developer class emerging by 2024, driven by the perpetual shortage of developers and the need to keep turning out innovations and improvements. They expect the developer population to grow by 30% by then, comprised mostly of developers who code without the use of custom scripting.
5. AI > UI
If IDC is correct, then Siri, Cortana, and Alexa have been showing us what personal computing is going to look like in the future. They're predicting that a third of screen-based app user interfaces will be replaced with AI-driven voice recognition by 2024 as natural language understanding technologies continue to advance, resulting in more of us operating our devices by having a conversation with them.
You can read the entire report, with all of IDC's predictions, in a publication titled IDC FutureScape: Worldwide IT Industry 2019 Predictions.
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